Alianza FC vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 4
BUC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAL
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
5 - 0
REA
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
ONC
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAT
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |