Alianza FC vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIO
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CHI
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RSC
0 - 1
PAT
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 2
PAT
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAT
28%
28%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |