Alianza FC vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CUC
3 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAT
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIO
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 0
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
PAT
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAT
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RSC
0 - 1
PAT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |