Alianza FC vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
CUC
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CUC
1 - 2
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAS
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
JAG
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ONC
4 - 0
HUI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
ONC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
ONC
1 - 0
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ONC
0 - 0
PAS
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |