Alianza FC vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BUC
3 - 2
ALI
45%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
MIL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
6 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 0
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
JAG
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 2
JUN
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BUC
2 - 2
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 0
ENV
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |