Alianza FC vs Jaguares FC analysis

Alianza FC Jaguares FC
71 ELO 72
-0.3% Tilt -9.9%
530º General ELO ranking 755º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Alianza FC
27.2%
Draw
31.6%
Jaguares FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
Alianza FC
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.6%
Win probability
Jaguares FC
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza FC
-12%
-6%
Jaguares FC

ELO progression

Alianza FC
Jaguares FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2018
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
30%
30%
40%
71 81 10 0
24 Feb. 2018
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
2 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
52%
26%
22%
72 76 4 -1
18 Feb. 2018
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 1
Santa Fe
SFE
24%
29%
47%
70 81 11 +2
14 Feb. 2018
TOL
Deportes Tolima
3 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
57%
25%
18%
71 77 6 -1
11 Feb. 2018
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 0
Leones
LEO
51%
26%
24%
71 67 4 0

Matches

Jaguares FC
Jaguares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2018
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 0
América de Cali
AME
41%
30%
29%
72 74 2 0
08 Mar. 2018
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
64%
21%
15%
73 81 8 -1
03 Mar. 2018
JAG
Jaguares FC
0 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
37%
29%
34%
73 77 4 0
25 Feb. 2018
SFE
Santa Fe
4 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
50%
28%
23%
74 81 7 -1
17 Feb. 2018
JAG
Jaguares FC
2 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
31%
28%
41%
72 77 5 +2