Alianza FC vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAL
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
SFE
24%
29%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAS
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
JAG
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 3
PAT
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
HUI
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |