Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
ALI
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
BUC
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
JAG
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
ENV
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |