Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
ALI
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
ALI
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
ALI
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 1
CUC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
RSC
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
IND
3 - 0
JAG
70%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |