Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-6
Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
TOL
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ENV
2 - 1
ALI
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
ENV
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |