Alianza FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
14%
25%
62%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |