Alianza FC vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CUC
0 - 2
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALI
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
EQU
3 - 3
PER
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
2 - 2
EQU
59%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
EQU
3 - 4
NAC
32%
29%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 0
EQU
51%
28%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 2
EQU
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |