Alianza FC vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
EQU
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
ALI
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
EQU
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
EQU
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
SFE
31%
30%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |