Alianza FC vs Deportivo Rionegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CHI
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
RSC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 2
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
RIO
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 2
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |