Alianza FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
BUC
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
BUC
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |