Alianza FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ENV
2 - 1
ALI
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
MIL
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 2
UNI
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
TOL
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 2
TOL
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
23%
29%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |