Alianza FC vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 3
CHI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 1
EQU
30%
30%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 1
CAR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
CUC
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ONC
4 - 0
CUC
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 0
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |