Alianza FC vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HUI
2 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
PAS
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
AME
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAT
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SFE
2 - 0
CHI
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOL
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |