Alianza FC vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSC
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 4
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 0
RSC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
BOG
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 0
REA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOG
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |