Alianza FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAT
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
4 - 0
BUC
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ENV
3 - 3
ALI
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
BUC
2 - 0
ALI
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 1
NAC
17%
26%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |