Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
JAG
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAL
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
BUC
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 0
TOL
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
BUC
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
HUI
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |