Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
IND
4 - 2
ALI
65%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 6
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
REA
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
3 - 1
ALI
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 3
ONC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
7 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 6
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CUC
1 - 1
BUC
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |