Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
SFE
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 3
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BUC
6 - 0
TFC
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 2
CUC
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 3
BUC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 2
CUC
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |