Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 2
RSC
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUC
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
RIO
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 0
BUC
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |