Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
ALI
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
ALI
66%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
ALI
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
BUC
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
27%
25%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAS
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |