Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 3-6
Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 3
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 1
ALI
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
PAS
28%
29%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 2
ENV
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAS
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |