Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MIL
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
ALI
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ALI
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
EQU
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
ENV
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 2
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
PAS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 3
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PER
4 - 2
PAS
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 1
BUC
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |