Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CUC
1 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
NAC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAS
0 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
PAS
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
2 - 1
CUC
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 2
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 2
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |