Alianza FC vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIO
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 0
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOG
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 2
ACA
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACA
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 3
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |