Alianza Lima vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 4
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
RES
90%
8%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |