Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
BIN
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
UTC
2 - 1
SBO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 1
UTC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 3
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
HUA
2 - 0
UTC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 2
UTC
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |