Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 1
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
5 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |