Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
UNI
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
BIN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |