Alianza Lima vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
0 - 1
TOL
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
74%
15%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1981 |
ALI
1 - 2
BOC
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
4 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
2 - 2
TOL
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1981 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |