Alianza Lima vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
4 - 1
ATL
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
5 - 0
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |