Alianza Lima vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 2
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
SBO
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 2
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
HUA
40%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 3
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |