Alianza Lima vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
VAL
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
LEO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |