Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
AYA
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |