Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
JAG
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 3
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 2
COM
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
DHP
1 - 4
COM
9%
16%
75%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
DHP
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |