Alianza Lima vs UNAP Iquitos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 2
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
GAL
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
3 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UNAP Iquitos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 0
AUR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
UNA
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
4 - 0
UNA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
2 - 1
GAL
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 1
AYA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |