Alianza Lima vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 4
ALI
52%
21%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |