Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALI
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 5
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HUA
0 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 0
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
LEO
47%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |