Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALI
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 4
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
SPC
0 - 0
CRZ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SPC
4 - 1
RAC
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPC
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
SPC
3 - 0
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |