Alianza Lima vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
2 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SPO
3 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |