Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
VAL
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Huancayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 1
HUA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
HUA
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |