Alianza Lima vs Sport Ancash Huaraz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
TOT
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Ancash Huaraz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CNI
41%
28%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
AUR
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |