Alianza Lima vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |