Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 5
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 1
GAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 1
CRZ
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |