Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 3
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
GAR
49%
23%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
GAR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |