Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 0
PAC
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALI
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 1
GAR
36%
32%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 1
HUA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 0
GAR
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 1
SPC
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
GAR
33%
31%
36%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |